Wednesday, August 18, 2004

More polls

From Kos:

Gallup. 8/13-15. MoE 4%. (7/19-22 results)

Registered Voters


Kerry/Edwards 52 (n/a)

Bush/Cheney 42 (n/a)


Likely Voters (MoE 5%)


Kerry/Edwards 48 (51)

Bush/Cheney 46 (45)



The new CNN piece doesn't reference the results from a month ago. And the results from a month ago didn't split the registered voters from the likely voters. And the piece doesn't talk about the race "closing", which is what the likely voter numbers would seem to indicate.


So I seriously wonder whether we have an apples to apples comparison here. Regardless, the 52-42 numbers seem wildly optimistic, considering that no other Ohio poll has shown a spread of more than four points in either candidate's direction.



I'm done. Good night.

Atrios has more on these results.

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